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Let Your Money Work For You
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Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Full Diversification...?

Full Diversification.. Is there such a thing?

The essence of diversification is to ensure incomes or rate of return in all weather conditions. In this sense, what possible ways exist for one to achieve full diversification?

In the current indian markets, you have mostly the following opportunities for ensuring diversification all the time.

  1. Sector Rotation : a). Economy sectors like Pharma, Banking, Media,etc..

b). Private Sector & Public Sector

c). Geographical segments like Domestic, China, Asia, USA and latin american regions

2. Contra

3. Dividend Yield & Price Earnings

4. Market Capitalisation: Large cap, Midcap and Small cap

5. Indexing

6. Basic Strategy : Growth-Value-Income spheres and

7. Asset Class based: Equity, Debt, Money Market, Gold, Realty etc..

The next part of the investment decision will be about the money you are willing to invest.

An average indian may be able to start with the last item.. ie.. the asset class diversification. This is the premitive strategy of all.

If you want to go to the next level of 'Growth-Value-income' you will need some more money at disposal. Growth happens over aperiod of time. Value realisation also happens after some time & upon happening of an expected event. Income you need for survival. Imagine all your investments are only in these three classes of assets.

Now the indexing level of diversification: This is based on the three dimensional capital market model of efficient market hypothesis. Since no one can beat the market, you do not go for great research but join the party with some index fund. Index reflects the market performance. Now if you want to have same level of income or rate of return, you may have to make an allocation more than that you have allocated to the Diversification Strategy No:6 or 7

When you want across market capitalisation also you need very substantial funds to keep you at the same level of income or rateof return than what it took eralier cases.

Look at the No: 2 contra: It requires lot of research to zoom in on possible up segments and take positions early with substantial funds to generate a given level of income or rate of return

What if you go for sector Rotation? You have seral alternatives available here. So to have Full divesification you ned substantial funds in each segment. When certain segments perform, other fail.

Thus progressively proceeding from Strategy 7 to 1 You will find that you have an inverted triangle of investible funds to sit with depending upon what investmenmt strategy in diversification you want to follow. So choose a diversification level that goes with your fund capacity, your knowledge level and above all what is its fit with your own life need?

Happy investing

Monday, May 17, 2010

The Banking Sector Funds

There are 6 Open End MF schemes and 4 ETFs in this space as on 17.05.2010. Most of them landed in the fray in 2007 & 2008 expecting the action of level playing field for Indian & Foreign Banks.

The Open End Funds are:
  1. ICICI Prudentail Banking & Financial services Fund(Aug 2008)
  2. J M Fianancial Services Sector Fund(Nov 2006)
  3. Reliance Banking Fund(May 2003)
  4. Religare Banking Fund( June 2008)
  5. Sahara Banking & Financial Services Opportunities Fund(May 2008)
  6. UTI Banking Sector Fund(April 2004)

The ETFs are also open ended but they are available for trade through the Stock Exchanges in the listed category just like you buy & sell shares. This is different from the broker channel for purchase of normal MF units.

The following are the ETFs :

  1. Banking BeES(May 2004)
  2. Kotak PSU Bank ETF(November 2007)
  3. PSU Bank BeES (October 2007)
  4. Reliance BAnking ETF(May 2008)

The propects for Indian Banks appear to be good with the policy supports from RBI & Govt from time to time. The question of level playing field itself got postponed in the wake of happenings in October 2008.The relaxations in provisioning of NPAs have now figured in their annual reports. This has in fact created accumulated NPAs Further the relaxations in provisioning for infrastructural advances will keep at bay the mounting NPAs of real estate segment figuring in the annual reports.

Slippages are costly.Too costly in a down turn. CARE is catious on Indian Banking sector in their Report dated 31 December 2009. But India has a good domestic demand and not fully dependent on Europen demand. So the institutional supports may give a breathing to the sector to pick up without breaking down.

The Sensex fall started early May 2010 is continuing in tandem with the global markets.

The stringent norms of capital adequacy followed by RBI has kept our banking system from being carried away in the October 2008 shakeout. Once tested, let us hope the regulators will look at loopholes to see the system is not crumbling.

For investors with deep pockets, these are good buy; Others who already in the funds may hold on till the results of GOI & RBI gets reflected in the annual reports triggering a value appreciation in these stocks.

Those who read this also saw:
  1. Pharmacuetical Sector Funds
  2. FMCG Sector Funds
  3. Technology Sector Funds